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According to von Clausewitz, four key elements of strategy will help you make it through this fog of uncertainty. First, you enter the fog with presence of mind you expect the unexpected. Don t go in thinking that you already know what to do. Be ready for surprise. Second, you cut through the fog in a flash of insight. That flash is a coup d oeil,* which is French for glance. To von Clausewitz, a coup d oeil is the rapid discovery of a truth which in the ordinary mind is either not visible at all or only becomes so after long examination and reflection. Third, a strategist follows through on the coup d oeil with resolution. To von Clausewitz, resolution is removing the torments of doubt . . . when there are no sufficient motives for guidance. There is no way to prove that your coup d oeil is right, to

There are three basic types of well pumps used for residential structures: submersible, jet, and piston All three can be used for shallow or deep wells The submersible pump, how-.

Figure 7.23 Schlage s L series mortise lockset. (Schlage Lock Company)

convince every doubter with facts and figures Despite the doubts, you follow through Fourth, the doubts are much reduced when strategy turns to experience, and directs its attention on those combinations which military history can furnish These combinations are the very content of the actual coup d oeil You see in a flash a new combination based on what worked in the past Presence of mind, coup d oeil, resolution, and combinations from history these four elements were the secrets of Napoleon s success To von Clausewitz, they formed the essence of strategy that others could also use Today, more than a century after von Clausewitz, modern research has given these four elements a growing body of scientific support, plus a modern name: expert intuition4 Psychologists describe expert intuition as recognition-based decision making, where you see something similar from the past in the current situation.

The greater your expertise, the more situations you see as familiar A novice, in contrast, sees each situation as new and unique Key scholars of expert intuition include Herbert Simon, who won the 1978 Nobel Prize in economics, and the psychologist Gary Klein, who studied firefighters, emergency room nurses, and soldiers in battle We also find expert intuition in the science of science, the study of how scientists make their discoveries, as told by the great historian of science, Thomas Kuhn Expert intuition shows up in philosophy, too, especially in the Pragmatism of William James and other leading scholars of his time In The Metaphysical Club, Louis Menand tells how Pragmatism became America s core philosophy at the start of the twentieth century, when the country teemed with competing religions, cultures, and traditions from around the world.

Figure 7.25 Assorted key blanks. (Master Lock Company)

In the face of so many theories to choose from, Pragmatism tells you to pick whichever one works the best for you in your current situation We find a similar strain in Eastern philosophy: Taoism in China and Zen in Japan Expert intuition runs through two ancient Tao classics from the fifth century BC, the Tao Te Ching by Lao Tzu and The Art of War by Sun Tzu Centuries later, Tao merged with Buddhism to become Zen Japanese masters of crafts and martial.

3. Go slowly near the end of each cut, but continue to cut with firm and steady strokes. Stop when the file touches the soot on the original key. 4. Once you have finished, remove the keys from the vise. Wire-brush the duplicate to remove any burrs, then polish the key. 5. Hold the duplicate up to the light. Place the original in front of it and behind it to determine if the duplicate is accurately cut. Shallow cuts can be cut a little deeper with a file; if a cut is too deep, start over with a new key blank.

Sloan s 1920 plan for GM followed two basic principles:8

The tubular key lock has become standard on vending machines. The arrangement of the pin tumblers increases security and requires a different type of key one that is tubular. A typical tubular key lock and key is shown in Fig. 7.26. The cam works directly off the end of the plug.